Market Pulse

1. TSMC reported better-than-expected Q2 net profit, announced significant investment and CAPEX increases to support robust AI demand through 2030, despite facing component price challenges and tight advanced packaging capacity.
2. Uber made an acquisition offer for Delivery Hero at €41.5 per share, valuing the equity at $14.8 billion, which is supported by major shareholder Prosus NV and is expected to be accretive to Uber's non-GAAP EPS.
3. Chinese stock indices (CSI300, Shanghai Composite, STAR50) fell more than 2-4%, with the A-share semiconductor sector weakening and related ETFs dropping 5%, indicating broad bearish sentiment.
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1. The Bank of Korea raised its interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, aligning with market expectations for its first hike since January 2023.
2. Middle East tensions escalated sharply with reports of Iranian attacks on US bases in Jordan and Kuwait, followed by US retaliatory strikes.
3. Major tech companies including Hitachi, Omron, Fujitsu, and Tokyo Electron are expanding AI and robotics collaborations with NVIDIA, indicating strong momentum in the AI and semiconductor sectors.
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1. South Korea is set to announce measures regarding a Bitcoin ETF, potentially impacting the global cryptocurrency market.
2. President Trump stated that pausing interest rate hikes is preferable to raising them, expressing hope for a rate cut, which sets a macroeconomic sentiment.
3. The U.S. government transferred 19.615 million seized USDT to Coinbase Prime, potentially affecting crypto market liquidity.
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1. Middle East tensions have significantly escalated with reports of explosions in Iran, Bahrain, and Kuwait intercepting attacks, while the U.S. indicates potential for further escalation.
2. Brent and U.S. crude oil prices closed higher, while Platinum jumped 3% and Silver fell nearly 3%, reflecting volatility in commodity markets.
3. The Fed's Beige Book reported slight to moderate U.S. economic growth, with Fed member Cook indicating policy remains restrictive and monitoring inflation amidst geopolitical risks and tariffs.
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1. U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in lower than expected, signaling easing inflationary pressures and boosting market optimism.
2. Major Wall Street firms including JPMorgan and BlackRock will participate in DTCC's trial run to tokenize traditional securities like Microsoft stock and ETFs.
3. PayPal shares surged 15.5% following reports that Stripe and Advent International offered to acquire the company for over $53 billion.
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1. PayPal shares surged 13.5% premarket following reports of a potential acquisition offer exceeding $53 billion from Stripe and Advent.
2. Alibaba shares climbed 5% premarket on news of its Qwen AI integration into Apple Intelligence in China.
3. U.S. health insurers, led by Elevance Health's 12% drop, fell premarket after Elevance reported disappointing Q2 results.
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1. Glassnode reported top traders on Hyperliquid are significantly longing BTC, reaching an all-time high and indicating strong speculative bullish demand.
2. ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) contract price plummeted over 11% in under an hour, as whale "0xf29" opened a significant short position.
3. ASML shares rose 7% following Q2 results, leading to a 1-4% increase in other European semiconductor peers.
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Stripe and Advent International have made a joint offer to acquire PayPal Holdings Inc. for $60.50 per share, backed by $50 billion in bank financing.
South Korea's KOSPI index surged up to 7.94% intraday, breaking 7400 points, with significant gains in major stocks like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics.
Geopolitical tensions escalated as Jordan and Kuwait intercepted Iranian ballistic missiles and drones, leading to a 1% rise in Brent crude futures to $85.60.
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1. The US military launched new strikes against Iran, leading to Iranian retaliatory threats and a 1% rise in US crude futures to over $80/bbl.
2. US stock markets closed positively, led by significant gains in the technology and optical communication sectors, with the Nasdaq up 0.9%.
3. Japan reported a sharp decline in May core machinery orders (-12.4% MoM vs. -4.2% forecast), despite Nikkei futures showing a 1.05% gain in early trade.
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1. Conflict between the US and Iran escalated significantly, with reports of US rocket and drone strikes in Iran, and Iran's IRGC claiming to target Kuwait and Bahrain in response, fueling major geopolitical tensions.
2. Fed official Goolsbee described June CPI inflation data as "surprisingly benign" and expressed optimism regarding services inflation, while FedWatch data indicates an 83.4% probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in July.
3. Brent and US crude oil prices settled higher, with US diesel futures surging 5% amid concerns over supply disruptions due to attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and Middle East tensions.
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1. U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in lower than expected (3.5% YoY), prompting traders to slash bets on immediate Fed rate hikes.
2. Federal Reserve officials (Warsh & Powell) reiterated a strong commitment to the 2% inflation target and are monitoring AI's impact on the economy and labor market.
3. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated with reports of missile/drone threats in Kuwait, explosions in Iran, and Trump's comments on the Strait of Hormuz.
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1. US and European software company shares, including Microsoft, Infosys, Wipro, and Adobe, fell significantly following IBM's disappointing preliminary Q2 results.
2. Major US banks like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase reported Q2 2026 earnings that widely exceeded analyst expectations, indicating resilience in the financial sector.
3. KeyBanc significantly raised price targets for several leading AI chip companies such as Micron, Arm, Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, while other semiconductor stocks like SK Hynix and Tower Semiconductor also surged.
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